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Union Espanola vs Rangers de Talca Prediction— Chile - Liga de Ascenso

Matchday 23 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 21:30

Union Espanola

PPG 2.09 · HOME

LAST 5

LWWWL

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME O1.5

Rangers de Talca

PPG 0.50 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLLWW

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +1.34 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.7%0-14.3%0-21.7%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-012.0%1-19.1%1-23.5%1-30.9%1-4+0.2%2 2-012.6%2-19.6%2-23.7%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-08.8%3-16.7%3-22.6%3-30.7%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-07.5%4+-15.8%4+-22.2%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 60.4% — — —

Draw 21.6% — — —

Away win 18.0% — — —

Over 2.5 59.7% — — —

Over 3.5 36.7% — — —

BTTS 52.7% — — —

Home O1.5 59.6% — — —

Away O1.5 21.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 56 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 39%

O2.5 45%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 45%

ROI -26.8%

Bet Hit 41%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 12.6%

#2 1–1 9.1%

#3 1–0 12.0%

#4 2–1 9.6%

#5 3–0 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Union Espanola2.1

Rangers de Talca0.8

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.7% · O3.5 PROB 36.7%

Form & verdict PPG

UNION ESPANOLA · PPG 2.09

RANGERS DE TALCA · PPG 0.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.34 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Union Espanola (H) 60.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Rangers de Talca (A) 18.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Union Espanola face Rangers de Talca in Chile - Liga de Ascenso on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Union Espanola a 60% chance, the draw 22% and Rangers de Talca 18%, so Union Espanola are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Union Espanola and 0.8 for Rangers de Talca (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Union Espanola are averaging 2.09 points per game versus 0.50 for Rangers de Talca. This match finished 0-1.

Union Espanola vs Rangers de Talca Prediction— Chile - Liga de Ascenso

Match Preview & Prediction

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