Al Fateh vs Al Khaleej Prediction— Saudi-Arabia - Pro League

Saudi-Arabia - Pro League Regular Season - 29 Al Fateh club stadium· Al-Hofuf Friday, April 24, 2026 15:45

Al Fateh PPG 1.29

1-0 MISS

Al Khaleej PPG 1.00

Away· +31.4% ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Fateh face Al Khaleej in Saudi-Arabia - Pro League on Friday, April 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Fateh a 33% chance, the draw 22% and Al Khaleej 45%, so Al Khaleej are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Al Fateh and 2.0 for Al Khaleej (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Fateh are averaging 1.29 points per game versus 1.00 for Al Khaleej. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +31.4%. This match finished 1-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 33.0%

Odds: 2.20 EV: -27.4%

Draw 21.7%

Odds: 3.65 EV: -20.8%

Away 45.3%

Odds: 2.90 EV: +31.4%

Model lean: Over 2.5

Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 70.0% Odds: 1.57 +9.9%

Over 3.5 48.8% Odds: 2.40 +17.1%

BTTS 69.5% Odds: 1.45 +0.8%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 2-2 ✘

5th 1-3 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Al Fateh

1.66

Al Khaleej

1.96

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 +9.9% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5. 
Raw EV leader: Away(+31.4%)

Verdict & Form

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.29), Away AVERAGE (1.00)