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FC Zurich B vs Kreuzlingen Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Wednesday, April 15, 2026

FC Zurich B

PPG 0.92 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Kreuzlingen

PPG 0.85 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 58.7% vs bookmaker-implied 61.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.7%0-16.7%0-22.6%0-30.7%0-4+0.2%1 1-014.5%1-111.2%1-24.3%1-31.1%1-4+0.3%2 2-012.1%2-19.4%2-23.6%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-06.7%3-15.2%3-22.0%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-04.1%4+-13.1%4+-21.2%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 58.7% 61.7% 1.62 -4.9%

Draw 24.1% 26.3% 3.80 -8.4%

Away win 17.2% 22.7% 4.40 -24.3%

Over 2.5 44.1% — — —

Over 3.5 23.0% — — —

BTTS 43.7% 69.4% 1.44 -37.1%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 67 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -3.6%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 35%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob43.7%

H 59% / xG 1.7-0.8 / O2.5 44% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 14.5%

#2 2–0 12.1%

#3 1–1✓ 11.2%

#4 2–1 9.4%

#5 0–0 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

FC Zurich B1.7

Kreuzlingen0.8

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.1% · O3.5 PROB 23.0%

Form & verdict PPG

FC ZURICH B · PPG 0.92

KREUZLINGEN · PPG 0.85

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.92), Away POOR (0.85)

Win probability 1X2

FC Zurich B (H) 58.7%

ODDS 1.62 · IMPLIED 61.7% EV -4.9%

Draw 24.1%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV -8.4%

Kreuzlingen (A) 17.2%

ODDS 4.40 · IMPLIED 22.7% EV -24.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

FC Zurich B face Kreuzlingen in Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion on Wednesday, April 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives FC Zurich B a 59% chance, the draw 24% and Kreuzlingen 17%, so FC Zurich B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for FC Zurich B and 0.8 for Kreuzlingen (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, FC Zurich B are averaging 0.92 points per game versus 0.85 for Kreuzlingen. This match finished 1-1.

FC Zurich B vs Kreuzlingen Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Match Preview & Prediction

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