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Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Juan Pablo II College Prediction— Peru - Primera División

Clausura · Matchday 7 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 18:00

Club Deportivo Los Chankas

PPG 2.33 · HOME

LAST 5

WDLLL

3 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Juan Pablo II College

PPG 0.73 · AWAY

LAST 5

LDLWW

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 65.9% vs bookmaker-implied 58.8% — a clear edge.

+12.0% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.5%0-12.3%0-21.1%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-06.7%1-16.4%1-23.1%1-31.0%1-4+0.3%2 2-09.3%2-18.9%2-24.2%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-08.5%3-18.1%3-23.9%3-31.2%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-011.4%4+-110.9%4+-25.2%4+-31.7%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 60.3% 58.1% 1.72 +3.7%

Draw 16.5% 26.0% 3.85 -21.9%

Away win 23.2% 23.0% 4.35 +0.5%

Over 2.5 65.1% 58.8% 1.70 +10.7%

Over 3.5 43.8% 35.7% 2.80 +22.6%

BTTS 55.0% 59.9% 1.67 -8.2%

Home O1.5 65.9% 58.8% 1.70 +12.0%

Away O1.5 25.7% 32.3% 3.10 -12.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 110 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 52%

ROI 9.2%

Bet Hit 59%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 60%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-4

xG (home)2.8 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob55.0%

H 60% / xG 2.8-1.0 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 9.3%

#2 1–2 3.1%

#3 1–1 6.4%

#4 2–1 8.9%

#5 3–0 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Club Deportivo Los Chankas2.8

Juan Pablo II College1.0

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.1% · O3.5 PROB 43.8%

Form & verdict PPG

CLUB DEPORTIVO LOS CHANKAS · PPG 2.33

JUAN PABLO II COLLEGE · PPG 0.73

✓ SOLID - Strong home form

95%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.80 for Home, form 2.33 vs 0.73 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Club Deportivo Los Chankas (H) 60.3%

ODDS 1.72 · IMPLIED 58.1% EV +3.7%

Draw 16.5%

ODDS 3.85 · IMPLIED 26.0% EV -21.9%

Juan Pablo II College (A) 23.2%

ODDS 4.35 · IMPLIED 23.0% EV +0.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Club Deportivo Los Chankas face Juan Pablo II College in Peru - Primera División on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Club Deportivo Los Chankas a 60% chance, the draw 17% and Juan Pablo II College 23%, so Club Deportivo Los Chankas are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.8 for Club Deportivo Los Chankas and 1.0 for Juan Pablo II College (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Club Deportivo Los Chankas are averaging 2.33 points per game versus 0.73 for Juan Pablo II College. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +37.7%. This match finished 3-4.

Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Juan Pablo II College Prediction— Peru - Primera División

Match Preview & Prediction

More Peru - Primera División Predictions