Today / Croatia - First NL / Karlovac 1919 vs Opatija

Karlovac 1919 vs Opatija Prediction— Croatia - First NL

Matchday 2 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 17:30

Karlovac 1919

PPG 1.71 · HOME

LAST 5

LW ···

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Opatija

PPG 1.08 · AWAY

LAST 5

DL ···

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.7% vs bookmaker-implied 54.1%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.8%0-17.2%0-23.8%0-31.3%0-4+0.4%1 1-011.1%1-111.7%1-26.2%1-32.2%1-4+0.7%2 2-09.1%2-19.6%2-25.0%2-31.8%2-4+0.6%3 3-04.9%3-15.2%3-22.7%3-31.0%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-02.9%4+-13.1%4+-21.6%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.9% 44.4% 2.25 +1.0%

Draw 26.4% 35.7% 2.80 -15.7%

Away win 28.7% 34.5% 2.90 -10.1%

Over 2.5 50.5% 46.5% 2.15 +8.6%

Over 3.5 29.4% 26.7% 3.75 +6.2%

BTTS 52.7% 54.1% 1.85 -2.5%

Home O1.5 48.9% 40.8% 2.45 +19.8%

Away O1.5 32.6% 32.9% 3.04 -0.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 49 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 49%

BTTS 41%

Score Hit 39%

ROI 6.7%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 26%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob52.7%

H 45% / xG 1.6-1.1 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.7%

#2 2–1✓ 9.6%

#3 1–0 11.1%

#4 2–0 9.1%

#5 0–0 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Karlovac 19191.6

Opatija1.1

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.5% · O3.5 PROB 29.4%

Form & verdict PPG

KARLOVAC 1919 · PPG 1.71

OPATIJA · PPG 1.08

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.57 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Karlovac 1919 (H) 44.9%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV +1.0%

Draw 26.4%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV -15.7%

Opatija (A) 28.7%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -10.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Karlovac 1919 face Opatija in Croatia - First NL on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Karlovac 1919 a 45% chance, the draw 26% and Opatija 29%, so Karlovac 1919 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Karlovac 1919 and 1.1 for Opatija (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Karlovac 1919 are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 1.08 for Opatija. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +23.6%. This match finished 2-1.

Karlovac 1919 vs Opatija Prediction— Croatia - First NL

Match Preview & Prediction

More Croatia - First NL Predictions