Livyi Bereh vs Podillya K. Prediction— Ukraine - Persha Liga

Ukraine - Persha Liga Regular Season - 25 Arena Livyi Bereg· Kyiv Friday, April 24, 2026 13:00

Livyi Bereh PPG 2.25

1-0 HIT CS3

Podillya K. PPG 1.08

Home· +5.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

68% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Livyi Bereh face Podillya K. in Ukraine - Persha Liga on Friday, April 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Livyi Bereh a 87% chance, the draw 10% and Podillya K. 3%, so Livyi Bereh are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.7 for Livyi Bereh and 0.4 for Podillya K. (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 28% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Livyi Bereh are averaging 2.25 points per game versus 1.08 for Podillya K.. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +5.8%. This match finished 1-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 86.7%

Odds: 1.22 EV: +5.8%

Draw 10.2%

Odds: 4.60 EV: -53.1%

Away 3.0%

Odds: 13.00 EV: -61.0%

Model lean: Home

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.7% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 37.3% Odds: — —

BTTS 28.3% Odds: 2.30 -34.9%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0 ✘

2nd 3-0 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✔

4th 4-0 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Livyi Bereh

2.73

Podillya K.

0.36

Model SuggestionHome +5.8% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 53 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5/Under 49%

BTTS/No 59%

Score Hit 53%

ROI 5.2%

Bet Hit 80% (5 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

68%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.25), Away AVERAGE (1.08) - Strong consensus