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Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion Wednesday, April 15, 2026
Bulle PPG 1.62
5-1 MISS
Lausanne B PPG 0.54
Home· +21.0% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
98% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 65.4%
Odds: 1.85 EV: +21.0%
Draw 17.2%
Odds: 3.80 EV: -34.6%
Away 17.3%
Odds: 3.25 EV: -43.8%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 75.4% Odds: —
Over 3.5 55.6% Odds: —
BTTS 67.9% Odds: 1.36 -7.7%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1
2nd 3-1
3rd 1-1
4th 2-0
5th 3-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Bulle
2.63
Lausanne B
1.32

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (—), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record

Based on 67 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%
O2.5/Under 70%
BTTS/No 60%
Score Hit 33%
ROI 10.3%
Bet Hit 75% (20 bets)

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
98%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.62), Away POOR (0.54) - Strong consensus

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