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Bulle vs Lausanne B Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Wednesday, April 15, 2026

Bulle

PPG 1.62 · HOME

5 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Lausanne B

PPG 0.54 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.9%0-12.6%0-21.7%0-30.7%0-4+0.3%1 1-05.1%1-16.7%1-24.4%1-31.9%1-4+0.9%2 2-06.7%2-18.8%2-25.8%2-32.5%2-4+1.1%3 3-05.8%3-17.7%3-25.1%3-32.2%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-07.2%4+-19.5%4+-26.3%4+-32.8%4+-4+1.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 65.4% 54.1% 1.85 +21.0%

Draw 17.2% 26.3% 3.80 -34.6%

Away win 17.3% 30.8% 3.25 -43.8%

Over 2.5 75.4% — — —

Over 3.5 55.6% — — —

BTTS 67.9% 73.5% 1.36 -7.7%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 67 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -3.6%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 78%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 5-1

xG (home)2.6 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob67.9%

H 65% / xG 2.6-1.3 / O2.5 75% / BTTS 68%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.8%

#2 3–1 7.7%

#3 1–1 6.7%

#4 2–0 6.7%

#5 3–0 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bulle2.6

Lausanne B1.3

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 75.4% · O3.5 PROB 55.6%

Form & verdict PPG

BULLE · PPG 1.62

LAUSANNE B · PPG 0.54

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

98%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.62), Away POOR (0.54) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Bulle (H) 65.4%

ODDS 1.85 · IMPLIED 54.1% EV +21.0%

Draw 17.2%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV -34.6%

Lausanne B (A) 17.3%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV -43.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Bulle face Lausanne B in Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion on Wednesday, April 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bulle a 65% chance, the draw 17% and Lausanne B 17%, so Bulle are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Bulle and 1.3 for Lausanne B (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 75% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 68% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bulle are averaging 1.62 points per game versus 0.54 for Lausanne B. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +21.0%. This match finished 5-1.

Bulle vs Lausanne B Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Match Preview & Prediction

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