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Bayswater vs Perth SC Prediction— Australia - Western Australia NPL

Regular Season - 8 ·Friday, April 24, 2026, 11:00

Bayswater

PPG 2.00 · HOME

3 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Perth SC

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.1%0-11.7%0-21.3%0-30.7%0-4+0.4%1 1-03.3%1-15.1%1-23.9%1-32.0%1-4+1.1%2 2-04.9%2-17.5%2-25.8%2-33.0%2-4+1.6%3 3-04.8%3-17.4%3-25.7%3-32.9%3-4+1.6%4+ 4+-07.3%4+-111.3%4+-28.7%4+-34.5%4+-4+2.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 66.4% — — —

Draw 15.9% — — —

Away win 17.7% — — —

Over 2.5 82.5% — — —

Over 3.5 65.6% — — —

BTTS 74.4% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 72%

Score Hit 38%

ROI 6.4%

Bet Hit 75%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 73%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-2

xG (home)3.0 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob74.4%

H 66% / xG 3.0-1.5 / O2.5 82% / BTTS 74%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 7.5%

#2 3–1 7.4%

#3 2–2 5.8%

#4 3–2✓ 5.7%

#5 4–1 5.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bayswater3.0

Perth SC1.5

COMBINED 4.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 82.5% · O3.5 PROB 65.6%

Form & verdict PPG

BAYSWATER · PPG 2.00

PERTH SC · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away GOOD (1.50)

Win probability 1X2

Bayswater (H) 66.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 15.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Perth SC (A) 17.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Bayswater face Perth SC in Australia - Western Australia NPL on Friday, April 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bayswater a 66% chance, the draw 16% and Perth SC 18%, so Bayswater are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.0 for Bayswater and 1.5 for Perth SC (4.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 83% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 74% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bayswater are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.50 for Perth SC. This match finished 3-2.

Bayswater vs Perth SC Prediction— Australia - Western Australia NPL

Match Preview & Prediction

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