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Lambton Jaffas vs Cooks Hill Utd Prediction— Australia - Northern NSW NPL

Regular Season - 9 ·Friday, April 24, 2026, 10:00

Lambton Jaffas

PPG 0.40 · HOME

4 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Cooks Hill Utd

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.2%0-13.0%0-23.9%0-33.3%0-4+3.9%1 1-02.2%1-15.7%1-27.3%1-36.2%1-4+7.4%2 2-02.1%2-15.3%2-26.8%2-35.8%2-4+6.9%3 3-01.3%3-13.3%3-24.3%3-33.6%3-4+4.3%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-12.4%4+-23.1%4+-32.6%4+-4+3.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.1% 65.4% 1.53 -57.0%

Draw 18.7% 25.0% 4.00 -25.2%

Away win 53.2% 20.8% 4.80 +155.4%

Over 2.5 81.9% — — —

Over 3.5 64.7% — — —

BTTS 78.1% 69.4% 1.44 +12.5%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 49 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 76%

BTTS 78%

Score Hit 43%

ROI -0.3%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 62%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-1

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)2.6 BTTS prob78.1%

A 53% / xG 1.9-2.6 / O2.5 82% / BTTS 78%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 7.3%

#2 2–2 6.8%

#3 1–3 6.2%

#4 2–3 5.8%

#5 1–1 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Lambton Jaffas1.9

Cooks Hill Utd2.6

COMBINED 4.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 81.9% · O3.5 PROB 64.7%

Form & verdict PPG

LAMBTON JAFFAS · PPG 0.40

COOKS HILL UTD · PPG 0.75

⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away

65%

DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.40) vs Away POOR (0.75)

Win probability 1X2

Lambton Jaffas (H) 28.1%

ODDS 1.53 · IMPLIED 65.4% EV -57.0%

Draw 18.7%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -25.2%

Cooks Hill Utd (A) 53.2%

ODDS 4.80 · IMPLIED 20.8% EV +155.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Lambton Jaffas face Cooks Hill Utd in Australia - Northern NSW NPL on Friday, April 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lambton Jaffas a 28% chance, the draw 19% and Cooks Hill Utd 53%, so Cooks Hill Utd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Lambton Jaffas and 2.6 for Cooks Hill Utd (4.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 82% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 78% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lambton Jaffas are averaging 0.40 points per game versus 0.75 for Cooks Hill Utd. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +155.4%. This match finished 4-1.

Lambton Jaffas vs Cooks Hill Utd Prediction— Australia - Northern NSW NPL

Match Preview & Prediction

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