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Deportivo Santani vs Atlético Tembetary Prediction— Paraguay - Division Intermedia

Matchday 21 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 13:00

Deportivo Santani

PPG 1.90 · HOME

LAST 5

WWWWL

3 – 4

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Atlético Tembetary

PPG 1.10 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLLWW

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 55.4% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.0%0-16.2%0-22.7%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-012.4%1-111.0%1-24.8%1-31.4%1-4+0.4%2 2-011.0%2-19.8%2-24.3%2-31.3%2-4+0.3%3 3-06.5%3-15.8%3-22.6%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-04.4%4+-13.8%4+-21.7%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 55.4% 63.7% 1.57 -13.0%

Draw 23.0% 27.0% 3.70 -8.9%

Away win 21.6% 21.1% 4.75 +1.6%

Over 2.5 53.5% 54.1% 1.85 -1.0%

Over 3.5 33.9% 33.7% 2.97 +0.7%

BTTS 53.6% 54.9% 1.82 -2.5%

Home O1.5 48.9% 59.9% 1.67 -18.3%

Away O1.5 25.7% 24.7% 4.05 +2.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 54%

ROI -43.1%

Bet Hit 31%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 37%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-4

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob53.6%

H 55% / xG 1.8-0.9 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.0%

#2 2–0 11.0%

#3 1–0 12.4%

#4 2–1 9.8%

#5 0–0 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Deportivo Santani1.8

Atlético Tembetary0.9

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 33.9%

Form & verdict PPG

DEPORTIVO SANTANI · PPG 1.90

ATLÉTICO TEMBETARY · PPG 1.10

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.90 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Deportivo Santani (H) 55.4%

ODDS 1.57 · IMPLIED 63.7% EV -13.0%

Draw 23.0%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -8.9%

Atlético Tembetary (A) 21.6%

ODDS 4.75 · IMPLIED 21.1% EV +1.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Deportivo Santani face Atlético Tembetary in Paraguay - Division Intermedia on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Deportivo Santani a 55% chance, the draw 23% and Atlético Tembetary 22%, so Deportivo Santani are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Deportivo Santani and 0.9 for Atlético Tembetary (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Deportivo Santani are averaging 1.90 points per game versus 1.10 for Atlético Tembetary. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +17.2%. This match finished 3-4.

Deportivo Santani vs Atlético Tembetary Prediction— Paraguay - Division Intermedia

Match Preview & Prediction

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