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12 de Junio VH vs Paraguari AC Prediction— Paraguay - Division Intermedia

Matchday 20 ·Monday, August 24, 2026, 21:30

12 de Junio VH

PPG 1.89 · HOME

LAST 5

DLWWL

3 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Paraguari AC

PPG 0.67 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWDLW

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 52.5% vs bookmaker-implied 57.8%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.7%0-17.0%0-22.5%0-30.6%0-4+0.1%1 1-015.7%1-111.2%1-24.0%1-31.0%1-4+0.2%2 2-012.7%2-19.1%2-23.3%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-06.8%3-14.9%3-21.8%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-03.9%4+-12.8%4+-21.0%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.5% 57.8% 1.73 -9.2%

Draw 24.2% 29.4% 3.40 -10.6%

Away win 23.4% 22.2% 4.50 +3.2%

Over 2.5 50.5% 47.6% 2.10 +6.0%

Over 3.5 28.7% 28.6% 3.50 +0.3%

BTTS 49.2% 51.8% 1.93 -5.0%

Home O1.5 48.9% 51.8% 1.93 -5.6%

Away O1.5 18.2% 25.0% 4.00 -16.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 54%

ROI -43.1%

Bet Hit 31%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 27%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-2

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob49.2%

H 52% / xG 1.6-0.7 / U2.5 50% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 15.7%

#2 2–0 12.7%

#3 1–1 11.2%

#4 0–0 9.7%

#5 0–1 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

12 de Junio VH1.6

Paraguari AC0.7

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.5% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

12 DE JUNIO VH · PPG 1.89

PARAGUARI AC · PPG 0.67

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.90 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

12 de Junio VH (H) 52.5%

ODDS 1.73 · IMPLIED 57.8% EV -9.2%

Draw 24.2%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -10.6%

Paraguari AC (A) 23.4%

ODDS 4.50 · IMPLIED 22.2% EV +3.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

12 de Junio VH face Paraguari AC in Paraguay - Division Intermedia on Monday, August 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives 12 de Junio VH a 53% chance, the draw 24% and Paraguari AC 23%, so 12 de Junio VH are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for 12 de Junio VH and 0.7 for Paraguari AC (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, 12 de Junio VH are averaging 1.89 points per game versus 0.67 for Paraguari AC. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +6.0%. This match finished 3-2.

12 de Junio VH vs Paraguari AC Prediction— Paraguay - Division Intermedia

Match Preview & Prediction

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