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Bruhl vs Kriens Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Wednesday, April 15, 2026

Bruhl

PPG 2.54 · HOME

4 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Kriens

PPG 2.08 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 58.9% vs bookmaker-implied 71.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.1%0-16.4%0-24.0%0-31.7%0-4+0.7%1 1-08.7%1-111.0%1-27.0%1-32.9%1-4+1.2%2 2-07.5%2-19.5%2-26.0%2-32.5%2-4+1.1%3 3-04.3%3-15.4%3-23.4%3-31.4%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-02.7%4+-13.4%4+-22.2%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.1% 40.8% 2.45 +17.8%

Draw 23.7% 31.3% 3.20 -24.2%

Away win 28.2% 40.0% 2.50 -29.5%

Over 2.5 57.3% — — —

Over 3.5 34.9% — — —

BTTS 58.9% 71.4% 1.40 -17.5%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 67 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -3.6%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 47%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-1

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob58.9%

H 48% / xG 1.7-1.3 / O2.5 57% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.0%

#2 2–1 9.5%

#3 1–0 8.7%

#4 2–0 7.5%

#5 1–2 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bruhl1.7

Kriens1.3

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 57.3% · O3.5 PROB 34.9%

Form & verdict PPG

BRUHL · PPG 2.54

KRIENS · PPG 2.08

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.54) > Away EXCELLENT (2.08)

Win probability 1X2

Bruhl (H) 48.1%

ODDS 2.45 · IMPLIED 40.8% EV +17.8%

Draw 23.7%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -24.2%

Kriens (A) 28.2%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV -29.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Bruhl face Kriens in Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion on Wednesday, April 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bruhl a 48% chance, the draw 24% and Kriens 28%, so Bruhl are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Bruhl and 1.3 for Kriens (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bruhl are averaging 2.54 points per game versus 2.08 for Kriens. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +17.8%. This match finished 4-1.

Bruhl vs Kriens Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Match Preview & Prediction

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