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FC 08 Homburg vs Stuttgarter Kickers Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - SudWest

Saturday, August 29, 2026, 12:00

FC 08 Homburg

PPG 1.86 · HOME

LAST 5

WLWL ·

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Stuttgarter Kickers

PPG 1.54 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWDW ·

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.2%0-15.0%0-23.9%0-32.1%0-4+1.2%1 1-05.9%1-19.3%1-27.4%1-33.9%1-4+2.2%2 2-05.6%2-18.8%2-26.9%2-33.6%2-4+2.0%3 3-03.5%3-15.5%3-24.3%3-32.3%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-02.5%4+-14.0%4+-23.1%4+-31.6%4+-4+0.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.6% — — —

Draw 22.0% — — —

Away win 34.4% — — —

Over 2.5 65.1% — — —

Over 3.5 44.2% — — —

BTTS 63.1% — — —

Home O1.5 56.3% — — —

Away O1.5 47.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 53 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 34%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 26%

ROI -39.7%

Bet Hit 42%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.3%

#2 2–1 8.8%

#3 1–2 7.4%

#4 2–2 6.9%

#5 2–0 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

FC 08 Homburg1.9

Stuttgarter Kickers1.6

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.1% · O3.5 PROB 44.2%

Form & verdict PPG

FC 08 HOMBURG · PPG 1.86

STUTTGARTER KICKERS · PPG 1.54

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.30 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

FC 08 Homburg (H) 43.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Stuttgarter Kickers (A) 34.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

FC 08 Homburg face Stuttgarter Kickers in Germany - Regionalliga - SudWest on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives FC 08 Homburg a 44% chance, the draw 22% and Stuttgarter Kickers 34%, so FC 08 Homburg are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for FC 08 Homburg and 1.6 for Stuttgarter Kickers (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, FC 08 Homburg are averaging 1.86 points per game versus 1.54 for Stuttgarter Kickers. This match finished 0-1.

FC 08 Homburg vs Stuttgarter Kickers Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - SudWest

Match Preview & Prediction

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