Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 60.7% Odds: 1.38 -16.2%
Over 3.5 38.4% Odds: 1.95 -25.1%
BTTS 54.0% Odds: 2.20 +18.8%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-0 ✔
2nd 2-1 ✘
3rd 1-0 ✘
4th 1-1 ✘
5th 3-0 ✘
Model Suggestion
Home -25.9% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-25.9%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.
Verdict & Form
✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value STRONG_HOME Home team in AVERAGE form (1.29), Away POOR (0.43) - Strong consensus