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Netherlands - Eredivisie logo Netherlands flag Netherlands - Eredivisie Regular Season - 31 Philips Stadion· Eindhoven Thursday, April 23, 2026 19:00
PSV Eindhoven logo PSV Eindhoven PPG 2.33
6-1 MISS
PEC Zwolle logo PEC Zwolle PPG 0.60
Over3.5· +31.1% ✓ SOLID - Strong home form
95% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 89.7%
Odds: 1.18 EV: +5.9%
Draw 6.1%
Odds: 7.10 EV: -56.7%
Away 4.2%
Odds: 12.00 EV: -49.6%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 93.6% Odds: 1.20 +12.3%
Over 3.5 84.6% Odds: 1.55 +31.1%
BTTS 70.5% Odds: 1.50 +5.8%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 4-1
2nd 5-1
3rd 3-1
4th 4-0
5th 5-0

Expected Goals (xG)

PSV Eindhoven
4.72
PEC Zwolle
1.24

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +12.3% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+31.1%)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Strong home form
95%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.33), Away POOR (0.60) - Strong consensus

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