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Netherlands - Eredivisie
Regular Season - 31
Philips Stadion· Eindhoven
Thursday, April 23, 2026
19:00
PSV Eindhoven
PPG 2.33
6-1
MISS
PEC Zwolle
PPG 0.60
Over3.5· +31.1%
✓ SOLID - Strong home form
95% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
89.7%
Odds: 1.18
EV: +5.9%
Draw
6.1%
Odds: 7.10
EV: -56.7%
Away
4.2%
Odds: 12.00
EV: -49.6%
Model lean:
Over 2.5
Result: Home ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
93.6%
Odds: 1.20
+12.3%
Over 3.5
84.6%
Odds: 1.55
+31.1%
BTTS
70.5%
Odds: 1.50
+5.8%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔
BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
4-1
✘
2nd
5-1
✘
3rd
3-1
✘
4th
4-0
✘
5th
5-0
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
PSV Eindhoven
4.72
PEC Zwolle
1.24
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5
+12.3%
ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market:
Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader:
Over3.5(+31.1%)
Verdict & Form
✓ SOLID - Strong home form
95%
STRONG_HOME
Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.33), Away POOR (0.60) - Strong consensus