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Netherlands - Eredivisie logo Netherlands flag Netherlands - Eredivisie Regular Season - 34 Kras Stadion· Volendam Sunday, May 17, 2026 12:30
FC Volendam logo FC Volendam PPG 1.44
1-2 HIT CS4
Telstar logo Telstar PPG 0.88
Home· +3.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 39.4%
Odds: 2.62 EV: +3.2%
Draw 26.1%
Odds: 3.75 EV: -1.3%
Away 34.5%
Odds: 2.36 EV: -18.6%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.6% Odds: 1.55 -18.5%
Over 3.5 29.8% Odds: 2.35 -18.0%
BTTS 54.6% Odds: 1.45 -20.8%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 0-0
4th 1-2
5th 1-0

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Volendam
1.43
Telstar
1.32

Model Suggestion

BTTS -20.8% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -20.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+3.2%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.44) > Away POOR (0.88)

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