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Netherlands - Eredivisie
Regular Season - 34
Kras Stadion· Volendam
Sunday, May 17, 2026
12:30
FC Volendam
PPG 1.44
1-2
HIT CS4
Telstar
PPG 0.88
Home· +3.2%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
39.4%
Odds: 2.62
EV: +3.2%
Draw
26.1%
Odds: 3.75
EV: -1.3%
Away
34.5%
Odds: 2.36
EV: -18.6%
Model lean:
BTTS
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
52.6%
Odds: 1.55
-18.5%
Over 3.5
29.8%
Odds: 2.35
-18.0%
BTTS
54.6%
Odds: 1.45
-20.8%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔
BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
2-1
✘
3rd
0-0
✘
4th
1-2
✔
5th
1-0
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Volendam
1.43
Telstar
1.32
Model Suggestion
BTTS
-20.8%
NO VALUE BET
No value bet:
model leans BTTS, but EV is -20.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV:
Home (+3.2%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME
Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.44) > Away POOR (0.88)