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Feyenoord W vs NAC Breda W Prediction— Netherlands - Eredivisie Women

Regular Season - 22 ·Friday, May 22, 2026, 18:00

Feyenoord W logo
Feyenoord W
PPG 2.30 · HOME
3 – 0
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME
NAC Breda W logo
NAC Breda W
PPG 0.10 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.30), Away POOR (0.10) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.8%0-10.4%0-20.1%0-30.0%0-4+0.0%1 1-03.5%1-11.9%1-20.5%1-30.1%1-4+0.0%2 2-07.5%2-14.0%2-21.1%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-010.7%3-15.7%3-21.5%3-30.3%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-036.3%4+-119.2%4+-25.1%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 77.3%
Draw 15.7%
Away win 7.1%
Over 2.5 77.1%
Over 3.5 70.5%
BTTS 48.6%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 76%
O2.5 68%
BTTS 56%
Score Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 72%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 3-0
xG (home)4.3 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob48.6%

H 77% / xG 4.3-0.5 / O2.5 77% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 4–0 11.4%
#2 3–0 10.7%
#3 5–0 9.7%
#4 2–0 7.5%
#5 4–1 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Feyenoord W4.3
NAC Breda W0.5

COMBINED 4.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 77.1% · O3.5 PROB 70.5%

Form & verdict PPG

FEYENOORD W · PPG 2.30

NAC BREDA W · PPG 0.10

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
66%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.30), Away POOR (0.10) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Feyenoord W (H) 77.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 15.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
NAC Breda W (A) 7.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Feyenoord W face NAC Breda W in Netherlands - Eredivisie Women on Friday, May 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Feyenoord W a 77% chance, the draw 16% and NAC Breda W 7%, so Feyenoord W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 4.3 for Feyenoord W and 0.5 for NAC Breda W (4.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 4-0. There is a 77% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Feyenoord W are averaging 2.30 points per game versus 0.10 for NAC Breda W. This match finished 3-0.

PredictVantage

Free daily football predictions across 240+ leagues. A Poisson-based model analyses team form, attack and defence strength, and live bookmaker odds to surface value bets — updated every day, graded every night.

18+ only. PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Match dates and kick-off times come from third-party data and may change — confirm with official sources before betting. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. BeGambleAware.org