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ADO Den Haag W vs PEC Zwolle W Prediction— Netherlands - Eredivisie Women

Regular Season - 22 ·Friday, May 22, 2026, 18:00

ADO Den Haag W

PPG 0.80 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

PEC Zwolle W

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.0 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.9%0-19.3%0-29.0%0-35.7%0-4+4.3%1 1-05.4%1-110.3%1-29.9%1-36.3%1-4+4.7%2 2-03.0%2-15.7%2-25.5%2-33.5%2-4+2.6%3 3-01.1%3-12.1%3-22.0%3-31.3%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.7%4+-20.7%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 23.1% — — —

Draw 24.0% — — —

Away win 52.9% — — —

Over 2.5 59.1% — — —

Over 3.5 35.9% — — —

BTTS 57.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 76%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 51%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob57.8%

A 53% / xG 1.1-1.9 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.3%

#2 1–2 9.9%

#3 0–2 9.0%

#4 0–1 9.3%

#5 0–0 4.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

ADO Den Haag W1.1

PEC Zwolle W1.9

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.1% · O3.5 PROB 35.9%

Form & verdict PPG

ADO DEN HAAG W · PPG 0.80

PEC ZWOLLE W · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.50) vs Home POOR (0.80)

Win probability 1X2

ADO Den Haag W (H) 23.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

PEC Zwolle W (A) 52.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

ADO Den Haag W face PEC Zwolle W in Netherlands - Eredivisie Women on Friday, May 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives ADO Den Haag W a 23% chance, the draw 24% and PEC Zwolle W 53%, so PEC Zwolle W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for ADO Den Haag W and 1.9 for PEC Zwolle W (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, ADO Den Haag W are averaging 0.80 points per game versus 1.50 for PEC Zwolle W. This match finished 3-0.

ADO Den Haag W vs PEC Zwolle W Prediction— Netherlands - Eredivisie Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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