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Spain - La Liga
Regular Season - 33
Campo de Futbol de Vallecas· Madrid
Thursday, April 23, 2026
18:00
Rayo Vallecano
PPG 1.53
1-0
HIT MostLikelyScore
Espanyol
PPG 1.06
Home· +4.0%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
52.0%
Odds: 2.00
EV: +4.0%
Draw
25.8%
Odds: 3.20
EV: -17.4%
Away
22.2%
Odds: 3.90
EV: -13.4%
Model lean:
Home
Result: Home ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
43.8%
Odds: 2.10
-8.0%
Over 3.5
22.7%
Odds: 3.80
-13.7%
BTTS
46.5%
Odds: 1.85
-14.0%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔
BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-0
✔
2nd
1-1
✘
3rd
2-0
✘
4th
2-1
✘
5th
0-0
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Rayo Vallecano
1.53
Espanyol
0.90
Model Suggestion
Home
+4.0%
ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market:
Home.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME
Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.53) > Away AVERAGE (1.06)