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Spain - La Liga logo Spain flag Spain - La Liga Regular Season - 33 Campo de Futbol de Vallecas· Madrid Thursday, April 23, 2026 18:00
Rayo Vallecano logo Rayo Vallecano PPG 1.53
1-0 HIT MostLikelyScore
Espanyol logo Espanyol PPG 1.06
Home· +4.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 52.0%
Odds: 2.00 EV: +4.0%
Draw 25.8%
Odds: 3.20 EV: -17.4%
Away 22.2%
Odds: 3.90 EV: -13.4%
Model lean: Home
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 43.8% Odds: 2.10 -8.0%
Over 3.5 22.7% Odds: 3.80 -13.7%
BTTS 46.5% Odds: 1.85 -14.0%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 1-1
3rd 2-0
4th 2-1
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Rayo Vallecano
1.53
Espanyol
0.90

Model Suggestion

Home +4.0% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.53) > Away AVERAGE (1.06)

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