Levante vs Sevilla FC Prediction— Spain - La Liga

Spain - La Liga Regular Season - 33 Estadio Ciudad de Valencia· Valencia Thursday, April 23, 2026 17:00

Levante PPG 1.06

2-0 HIT CS4

Sevilla FC PPG 1.00

Over3.5· +55.4% ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Levante face Sevilla FC in Spain - La Liga on Thursday, April 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Levante a 51% chance, the draw 22% and Sevilla FC 27%, so Levante are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Levante and 1.3 for Sevilla FC (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Levante are averaging 1.06 points per game versus 1.00 for Sevilla FC. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +55.4%. This match finished 2-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 50.6%

Odds: 2.54 EV: +28.5%

Draw 22.3%

Odds: 3.15 EV: -29.8%

Away 27.1%

Odds: 2.82 EV: -23.6%

Model lean: Over 2.5

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 63.1% Odds: 2.10 +32.5%

Over 3.5 40.9% Odds: 3.80 +55.4%

BTTS 62.9% Odds: 1.80 +13.2%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 2-0 ✔

5th 1-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Levante

1.91

Sevilla FC

1.34

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 +32.5% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5. 
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+55.4%)

League Track Record ↗

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%

O2.5/Under 60%

BTTS/No 64%

Score Hit 56%

ROI -19.9%

Bet Hit 42% (26 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.06), Away AVERAGE (1.00)