Go Ahead Eagles vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction & Tips

Netherlands - Eredivisie Regular Season - 31 De Adelaarshorst· Deventer Thursday, April 23, 2026 16:45

Go Ahead Eagles PPG 1.60

0-0 MISS

AZ Alkmaar PPG 1.27

Home· +34.8% ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75% confidence

Home 46.5%

Odds: 2.90 EV: +34.8%

Draw 21.3%

Odds: 3.85 EV: -18.0%

Away 32.3%

Odds: 2.15 EV: -30.6%

Model lean: Over 2.5

Result: Draw ✘

Over 2.5 71.6% Odds: 1.50 +7.4%

Over 3.5 50.8% Odds: 2.25 +14.3%

BTTS 70.7% Odds: 1.44 +1.8%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

1st 2-1 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✘

3rd 2-2 ✘

4th 1-2 ✘

5th 3-1 ✘

Go Ahead Eagles

2.03

AZ Alkmaar

1.68

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 +7.4% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5. 
Raw EV leader: Home(+34.8%)

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.60) > Away AVERAGE (1.27)