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Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. vs FSV Frankfurt Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - SudWest

Friday, August 28, 2026, 17:00

Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.

PPG 1.23 · HOME

LAST 5

WLDD ·

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

FSV Frankfurt

PPG 1.59 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLWD ·

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.7%0-16.3%0-25.4%0-33.1%0-4+1.9%1 1-05.9%1-110.0%1-28.6%1-34.9%1-4+3.1%2 2-04.7%2-18.0%2-26.8%2-33.9%2-4+2.4%3 3-02.5%3-14.2%3-23.6%3-32.1%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-12.4%4+-22.1%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.3% — — —

Draw 22.8% — — —

Away win 41.9% — — —

Over 2.5 63.3% — — —

Over 3.5 40.0% — — —

BTTS 63.1% — — —

Home O1.5 47.8% — — —

Away O1.5 47.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 53 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 34%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 26%

ROI -39.7%

Bet Hit 42%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.0%

#2 1–2 8.6%

#3 2–1 8.0%

#4 2–2✓ 6.8%

#5 0–2 5.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.1.6

FSV Frankfurt1.7

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.3% · O3.5 PROB 40.0%

Form & verdict PPG

BAROCKSTADT FULDA-LEHN. · PPG 1.23

FSV FRANKFURT · PPG 1.59

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.12 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. (H) 35.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

FSV Frankfurt (A) 41.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. face FSV Frankfurt in Germany - Regionalliga - SudWest on Friday, August 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. a 35% chance, the draw 23% and FSV Frankfurt 42%, so FSV Frankfurt are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. and 1.7 for FSV Frankfurt (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. are averaging 1.23 points per game versus 1.59 for FSV Frankfurt. This match finished 2-2.

Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. vs FSV Frankfurt Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - SudWest

Match Preview & Prediction

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