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Vevey Sports vs Breitenrain Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Regular Season - 27 ·Wednesday, April 15, 2026

Vevey Sports

PPG 0.38 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · AWAY

Breitenrain

PPG 0.62 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 53.7% vs bookmaker-implied 61.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.7%0-118.4%0-212.3%0-35.5%0-4+2.5%1 1-08.8%1-111.9%1-28.0%1-33.6%1-4+1.6%2 2-02.9%2-13.8%2-22.6%2-31.2%2-4+0.5%3 3-00.6%3-10.8%3-20.6%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 17.9% 22.7% 4.40 -21.2%

Draw 28.4% 26.7% 3.75 +6.5%

Away win 53.7% 61.7% 1.62 -13.0%

Over 2.5 32.1% — — —

Over 3.5 14.1% — — —

BTTS 35.2% 66.7% 1.50 -47.2%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 67 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -3.6%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 60%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob35.2%

A 54% / xG 0.6-1.3 / U2.5 32% / NoBTTS 35%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 18.4%

#2 0–0 13.7%

#3 0–2 12.3%

#4 1–1 11.9%

#5 1–0 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vevey Sports0.6

Breitenrain1.3

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 32.1% · O3.5 PROB 14.1%

Form & verdict PPG

VEVEY SPORTS · PPG 0.38

BREITENRAIN · PPG 0.62

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.38), Away POOR (0.62)

Win probability 1X2

Vevey Sports (H) 17.9%

ODDS 4.40 · IMPLIED 22.7% EV -21.2%

Draw 28.4%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV +6.5%

Breitenrain (A) 53.7%

ODDS 1.62 · IMPLIED 61.7% EV -13.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Vevey Sports face Breitenrain in Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion on Wednesday, April 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vevey Sports a 18% chance, the draw 28% and Breitenrain 54%, so Breitenrain are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Vevey Sports and 1.3 for Breitenrain (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 32% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 35% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vevey Sports are averaging 0.38 points per game versus 0.62 for Breitenrain. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +6.5%. This match finished 2-2.

Vevey Sports vs Breitenrain Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Match Preview & Prediction

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