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Kerala Blasters vs Odisha FC Prediction— India - Indian Super League

Regular Season - 10 ·Thursday, April 23, 2026, 14:00

Kerala Blasters

PPG 0.67 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Odisha FC

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 53.1% vs bookmaker-implied 55.6%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.8%0-17.4%0-24.1%0-31.5%0-4+0.5%1 1-010.8%1-111.9%1-26.5%1-32.4%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.6%2-19.4%2-25.2%2-31.9%2-4+0.7%3 3-04.6%3-15.0%3-22.8%3-31.0%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-02.6%4+-12.9%4+-21.6%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.9% 56.5% 1.77 -13.5%

Draw 24.9% 29.4% 3.40 -15.3%

Away win 26.2% 24.4% 4.10 +7.4%

Over 2.5 50.4% 51.8% 1.93 -2.7%

Over 3.5 28.4% 29.9% 3.35 -4.9%

BTTS 53.1% 55.6% 1.80 -4.4%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 60%

ROI 5.0%

Bet Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 30%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob53.1%

H 49% / xG 1.6-1.1 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.9%

#2 1–0 10.8%

#3 2–1✓ 9.4%

#4 2–0 8.6%

#5 0–1 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kerala Blasters1.6

Odisha FC1.1

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.4% · O3.5 PROB 28.4%

Form & verdict PPG

KERALA BLASTERS · PPG 0.67

ODISHA FC · PPG 0.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.67), Away POOR (0.75)

Win probability 1X2

Kerala Blasters (H) 48.9%

ODDS 1.77 · IMPLIED 56.5% EV -13.5%

Draw 24.9%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -15.3%

Odisha FC (A) 26.2%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV +7.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kerala Blasters face Odisha FC in India - Indian Super League on Thursday, April 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kerala Blasters a 49% chance, the draw 25% and Odisha FC 26%, so Kerala Blasters are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Kerala Blasters and 1.1 for Odisha FC (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kerala Blasters are averaging 0.67 points per game versus 0.75 for Odisha FC. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +7.4%. This match finished 2-1.

Kerala Blasters vs Odisha FC Prediction— India - Indian Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

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