Kerala Blasters vs Odisha FC Prediction— India - Indian Super League

India - Indian Super League Regular Season - 10 Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium· Kochi Thursday, April 23, 2026 14:00

Kerala Blasters PPG 0.67

2-1 HIT CS3

Odisha FC PPG 0.75

Away· +7.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Kerala Blasters face Odisha FC in India - Indian Super League on Thursday, April 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kerala Blasters a 49% chance, the draw 25% and Odisha FC 26%, so Kerala Blasters are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Kerala Blasters and 1.1 for Odisha FC (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kerala Blasters are averaging 0.67 points per game versus 0.75 for Odisha FC. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +7.4%. This match finished 2-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 48.9%

Odds: 1.77 EV: -13.5%

Draw 24.9%

Odds: 3.40 EV: -15.3%

Away 26.2%

Odds: 4.10 EV: +7.4%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 50.4% Odds: 1.93 -2.7%

Over 3.5 28.4% Odds: 3.35 -4.9%

BTTS 53.1% Odds: 1.80 -4.4%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✔

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 0-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Kerala Blasters

1.59

Odisha FC

1.10

Model SuggestionBTTS -4.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -4.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+7.4%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5/Under 57%

BTTS/No 62%

Score Hit 60%

ROI 5.8%

Bet Hit 60% (10 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.67), Away POOR (0.75)