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USA - Major League Soccer Wednesday, April 22, 2026 23:30 
Toronto PPG 1.80 
Philadelphia PPG 0.75
USA - Major League Soccer Wednesday, April 22, 2026 23:30 Toronto PPG 1.803-3 MISS
Philadelphia PPG 0.75Home· +62.7% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
98% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Home
Result: Draw
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 62.6% Odds: 1.83 +14.6%
Over 3.5 40.4% Odds: 3.10 +25.2%
BTTS 54.7% Odds: 1.65 -9.7%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-0 ✘
2nd 2-1 ✘
3rd 1-0 ✘
4th 1-1 ✘
5th 3-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Toronto 2.29
Philadelphia 0.94
Model Suggestion
Home +62.7% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 76 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 47%
O2.5/Under 61%
BTTS/No 68%
Score Hit 41%
ROI -11.7%
Bet Hit 50% (48 bets)
Verdict & Form
🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
STRONG_HOME 98%
Home team in GOOD form (1.80), Away POOR (0.75) - Strong consensus