Orlando City vs Charlotte Prediction— USA - Major League Soccer

Match Preview & Prediction

Orlando City face Charlotte in USA - Major League Soccer on Wednesday, April 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Orlando City a 6% chance, the draw 9% and Charlotte 86%, so Charlotte are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Orlando City and 3.6 for Charlotte (4.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-3. There is a 83% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Orlando City are averaging 0.75 points per game versus 1.33 for Charlotte. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +112.0%. This match finished 4-1.