New York RB PPG 2.00
DC United PPG 1.00New York RB face DC United in USA - Major League Soccer on Wednesday, April 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives New York RB a 52% chance, the draw 28% and DC United 20%, so New York RB are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for New York RB and 0.8 for DC United (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 40% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, New York RB are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.00 for DC United. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +3.1%. This match finished 4-4.
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=52.4%