New York City vs Cincinnati Prediction— USA - Major League Soccer

Match Preview & Prediction

New York City face Cincinnati in USA - Major League Soccer on Wednesday, April 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives New York City a 84% chance, the draw 9% and Cincinnati 7%, so New York City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 4.3 for New York City and 1.5 for Cincinnati (5.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 4-1. There is a 93% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 76% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, New York City are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 0.25 for Cincinnati. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +110.4%. This match finished 4-4.