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Osasco Audax U20 vs Gremio Prudente U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Matchday 13 ·Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 18:00

Osasco Audax U20

PPG 1.59 · HOME

LAST 5

WWDWD

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Gremio Prudente U20

PPG 1.47 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLLDD

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 55.4% vs bookmaker-implied 48.8% — a clear edge.

+13.6% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.7%0-16.6%0-23.3%0-31.1%0-4+0.3%1 1-011.5%1-111.3%1-25.6%1-31.8%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.9%2-19.7%2-24.8%2-31.6%2-4+0.5%3 3-05.6%3-15.6%3-22.8%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-03.6%4+-13.5%4+-21.7%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 55.4% 48.8% 2.05 +13.6%

Draw 22.8% 30.8% 3.25 -15.5%

Away win 21.8% 32.3% 3.10 -19.4%

Over 2.5 53.5% 52.6% 1.90 +1.7%

Over 3.5 31.5% 34.2% 2.92 -8.0%

BTTS 52.1% 61.0% 1.64 -14.6%

Home O1.5 48.9% 45.7% 2.19 +7.1%

Away O1.5 29.5% 41.7% 2.40 -17.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 117 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 61%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 55%

ROI -47.8%

Bet Hit 32%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 37%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob52.1%

H 55% / xG 1.7-1.0 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.3%

#2 2–0 9.9%

#3 1–0 11.5%

#4 2–1 9.7%

#5 0–0 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Osasco Audax U201.7

Gremio Prudente U201.0

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 31.5%

Form & verdict PPG

OSASCO AUDAX U20 · PPG 1.59

GREMIO PRUDENTE U20 · PPG 1.47

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.73 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Osasco Audax U20 (H) 55.4%

ODDS 2.05 · IMPLIED 48.8% EV +13.6%

Draw 22.8%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV -15.5%

Gremio Prudente U20 (A) 21.8%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -19.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Osasco Audax U20 face Gremio Prudente U20 in Brazil - Paulista - U20 on Tuesday, August 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Osasco Audax U20 a 55% chance, the draw 23% and Gremio Prudente U20 22%, so Osasco Audax U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Osasco Audax U20 and 1.0 for Gremio Prudente U20 (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Osasco Audax U20 are averaging 1.59 points per game versus 1.47 for Gremio Prudente U20. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +7.1%. This match finished 2-2.

Osasco Audax U20 vs Gremio Prudente U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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