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RB Bragantino U20 vs Mauá U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Matchday 13 ·Friday, August 21, 2026, 18:00

RB Bragantino U20

PPG 3.00 · HOME

LAST 5

WWWWW

4 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Mauá U20

PPG 0.80 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLWLL

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 88.0% vs bookmaker-implied 92.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.1%0-10.1%0-20.0%0-30.0%0-4+0.0%1 1-00.8%1-10.3%1-20.1%1-30.0%1-4+0.0%2 2-02.4%2-11.0%2-20.2%2-30.0%2-4+0.0%3 3-05.1%3-12.1%3-20.4%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-057.7%4+-123.9%4+-25.0%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 88.0% 92.6% 1.08 -5.0%

Draw 6.8% 7.7% 13.00 -7.0%

Away win 5.2% 5.3% 19.00 -0.7%

Over 2.5 82.7% 85.5% 1.17 -3.2%

Over 3.5 66.2% 67.6% 1.48 -2.0%

BTTS 43.6% 46.9% 2.13 -7.1%

Home O1.5 84.7% 92.6% 1.08 -8.5%

Away O1.5 11.1% 14.6% 6.85 -14.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 117 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 61%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 55%

ROI -47.8%

Bet Hit 32%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 61%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-0

xG (home)6.3 xG (away)0.4 BTTS prob43.6%

H 88% / xG 6.3-0.4 / O2.5 83% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 5–0 10.0%

#2 4–0✓ 8.0%

#3 3–0 5.1%

#4 5–1 4.2%

#5 1–1 0.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

RB Bragantino U206.3

Mauá U200.4

COMBINED 6.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 82.7% · O3.5 PROB 66.2%

Form & verdict PPG

RB BRAGANTINO U20 · PPG 3.00

MAUÁ U20 · PPG 0.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +5.88 for Home, form 3.00 vs 0.80 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

RB Bragantino U20 (H) 88.0%

ODDS 1.08 · IMPLIED 92.6% EV -5.0%

Draw 6.8%

ODDS 13.00 · IMPLIED 7.7% EV -7.0%

Mauá U20 (A) 5.2%

ODDS 19.00 · IMPLIED 5.3% EV -0.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

RB Bragantino U20 face Mauá U20 in Brazil - Paulista - U20 on Friday, August 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives RB Bragantino U20 a 88% chance, the draw 7% and Mauá U20 5%, so RB Bragantino U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 6.3 for RB Bragantino U20 and 0.4 for Mauá U20 (6.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 5-0. There is a 83% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, RB Bragantino U20 are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 0.80 for Mauá U20. This match finished 4-0.

RB Bragantino U20 vs Mauá U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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