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Bandeirante U20 vs Botafogo SP U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Matchday 13 ·Friday, August 21, 2026, 18:00

Bandeirante U20

PPG 1.40 · HOME

LAST 5

WLLWL

0 – 4

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Botafogo SP U20

PPG 0.40 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWDWW

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.7% vs bookmaker-implied 61.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.6%0-18.8%0-25.1%0-32.0%0-4+0.7%1 1-010.8%1-112.5%1-27.2%1-32.8%1-4+1.0%2 2-07.7%2-18.9%2-25.1%2-32.0%2-4+0.7%3 3-03.6%3-14.2%3-22.4%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-12.0%4+-21.2%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.5% 34.5% 2.90 +17.4%

Draw 24.7% 30.8% 3.25 -11.8%

Away win 34.7% 47.6% 2.10 -27.1%

Over 2.5 53.9% 51.3% 1.95 +5.1%

Over 3.5 31.0% 37.0% 2.70 -16.3%

BTTS 54.7% 61.7% 1.62 -11.4%

Home O1.5 40.0% 38.9% 2.57 +2.8%

Away O1.5 35.6% 55.9% 1.79 -36.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 117 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 61%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 55%

ROI -47.8%

Bet Hit 32%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 26%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-4

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob54.7%

H 40% / xG 1.4-1.2 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.5%

#2 1–0 10.8%

#3 2–1 8.9%

#4 1–2 7.2%

#5 0–1 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bandeirante U201.4

Botafogo SP U201.2

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.9% · O3.5 PROB 31.0%

Form & verdict PPG

BANDEIRANTE U20 · PPG 1.40

BOTAFOGO SP U20 · PPG 0.40

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.26 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Bandeirante U20 (H) 40.5%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV +17.4%

Draw 24.7%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV -11.8%

Botafogo SP U20 (A) 34.7%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -27.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Bandeirante U20 face Botafogo SP U20 in Brazil - Paulista - U20 on Friday, August 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bandeirante U20 a 41% chance, the draw 25% and Botafogo SP U20 35%, so Bandeirante U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Bandeirante U20 and 1.2 for Botafogo SP U20 (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bandeirante U20 are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 0.40 for Botafogo SP U20. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +12.5%. This match finished 0-4.

Bandeirante U20 vs Botafogo SP U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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