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USA - Major League Soccer logo USA flag USA - Major League Soccer Regular Season - 9 Lower.com Field· Columbus Wednesday, April 22, 2026 23:30
Columbus Crew logo Columbus Crew PPG 0.67
2-1 HIT CS2
LA Galaxy logo LA Galaxy PPG 1.25
Away· +39.6% ⚠ MIXED SIGNALS - Model favors home but form suggests away strength
70% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 41.1%
Odds: 1.73 EV: -28.9%
Draw 24.1%
Odds: 4.10 EV: -1.2%
Away 34.9%
Odds: 4.00 EV: +39.6%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 58.5% Odds: 1.55 -9.3%
Over 3.5 36.1% Odds: 2.35 -15.2%
BTTS 60.8% Odds: 1.53 -7.0%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-2
4th 1-0
5th 0-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Columbus Crew
1.59
LA Galaxy
1.45

Model Suggestion

BTTS -7.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -7.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+39.6%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ MIXED SIGNALS - Model favors home but form suggests away strength
70%
CAUTION_HOME

Caution: Away form (1.25) strong but model favors Home (P=41.1%)

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