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USA - Major League Soccer
Regular Season - 9
Lower.com Field· Columbus
Wednesday, April 22, 2026
23:30
Columbus Crew
PPG 0.67
2-1
HIT CS2
LA Galaxy
PPG 1.25
Away· +39.6%
⚠ MIXED SIGNALS - Model favors home but form suggests away strength
70% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
41.1%
Odds: 1.73
EV: -28.9%
Draw
24.1%
Odds: 4.10
EV: -1.2%
Away
34.9%
Odds: 4.00
EV: +39.6%
Model lean:
BTTS
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
58.5%
Odds: 1.55
-9.3%
Over 3.5
36.1%
Odds: 2.35
-15.2%
BTTS
60.8%
Odds: 1.53
-7.0%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔
BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
2-1
✔
3rd
1-2
✘
4th
1-0
✘
5th
0-1
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Columbus Crew
1.59
LA Galaxy
1.45
Model Suggestion
BTTS
-7.0%
NO VALUE BET
No value bet:
model leans BTTS, but EV is -7.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV:
Away (+39.6%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ MIXED SIGNALS - Model favors home but form suggests away strength
70%
CAUTION_HOME
Caution: Away form (1.25) strong but model favors Home (P=41.1%)