Cusco vs FC Cajamarca Prediction— Peru - Primera División

Peru - Primera División Apertura - 10 Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega· Cusco Wednesday, April 22, 2026 23:00

Cusco PPG 1.75

1-0 MISS

FC Cajamarca PPG 0.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Cusco face FC Cajamarca in Peru - Primera División on Wednesday, April 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cusco a 69% chance, the draw 16% and FC Cajamarca 15%, so Cusco are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.7 for Cusco and 1.2 for FC Cajamarca (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 75% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cusco are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 0.20 for FC Cajamarca. This match finished 1-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 69.0%

Odds: — EV: —

Draw 16.3%

Odds: — EV: —

Away 14.7%

Odds: — EV: —

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 74.8% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 54.8% Odds: — —

BTTS 65.4% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1 ✘

2nd 3-1 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 3-0 ✘

5th 1-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Cusco

2.70

FC Cajamarca

1.21

Model SuggestionOver 2.5  MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 56 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5/Under 64%

BTTS/No 63%

Score Hit 52%

ROI -0.6%

Bet Hit 54% (26 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.75), Away POOR (0.20) - Strong consensus