Atletico Grau vs S. Cristal Prediction— Peru - Primera División

Peru - Primera División Apertura - 10 Estadio Campeones del 36· Sullana Wednesday, April 22, 2026 20:15

Atletico Grau PPG 1.25

4-1 MISS

S. Cristal PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Atletico Grau face S. Cristal in Peru - Primera División on Wednesday, April 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Atletico Grau a 23% chance, the draw 28% and S. Cristal 49%, so S. Cristal are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Atletico Grau and 1.3 for S. Cristal (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 41% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Atletico Grau are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 1.00 for S. Cristal. This match finished 4-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 23.3%

Odds: — EV: —

Draw 28.2%

Odds: — EV: —

Away 48.5%

Odds: — EV: —

Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 36.6% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 17.3% Odds: — —

BTTS 41.4% Odds: — —

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-1 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✘

3rd 0-0 ✘

4th 0-2 ✘

5th 1-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Atletico Grau

0.83

S. Cristal

1.33

Model SuggestionNo Bet  MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.25), Away AVERAGE (1.00)