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Feirense vs FC Porto B Prediction— Portugal - Segunda Liga

Matchday 3 ·Monday, August 24, 2026, 19:15

Feirense

PPG 1.37 · HOME

LAST 5

DLLL ·

0 – 1

FULL TIME

FC Porto B

PPG 1.04 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLWL ·

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.5%0-19.7%0-24.1%0-31.2%0-4+0.3%1 1-015.2%1-112.8%1-25.4%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.0%2-18.4%2-23.6%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-04.4%3-13.7%3-21.6%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-11.6%4+-20.7%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.7% 48.8% 2.05 -2.2%

Draw 28.0% 33.3% 3.00 -9.6%

Away win 24.3% 29.4% 3.40 -10.4%

Over 2.5 43.1% 45.5% 2.20 -5.2%

Over 3.5 20.7% 25.0% 4.00 -10.3%

BTTS 47.2% 52.4% 1.91 -9.8%

Home O1.5 37.2% 42.0% 2.38 -11.5%

Away O1.5 23.6% 28.6% 3.50 -10.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 53 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 40%

Score Hit 38%

ROI -48.9%

Bet Hit 29%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 34%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob47.2%

H 48% / xG 1.3-0.8 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 15.2%

#2 1–1 12.8%

#3 0–0 11.5%

#4 2–0 10.0%

#5 2–1 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Feirense1.3

FC Porto B0.8

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.1% · O3.5 PROB 20.7%

Form & verdict PPG

FEIRENSE · PPG 1.37

FC PORTO B · PPG 1.04

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.47, combined xG 2.16 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Feirense (H) 47.7%

ODDS 2.05 · IMPLIED 48.8% EV -2.2%

Draw 28.0%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -9.6%

FC Porto B (A) 24.3%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -10.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Feirense face FC Porto B in Portugal - Segunda Liga on Monday, August 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Feirense a 48% chance, the draw 28% and FC Porto B 24%, so Feirense are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Feirense and 0.8 for FC Porto B (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Feirense are averaging 1.37 points per game versus 1.04 for FC Porto B. This match finished 0-1.

Feirense vs FC Porto B Prediction— Portugal - Segunda Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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