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Sport Boys vs Cienciano Prediction— Peru - Primera División

Clausura · Matchday 6 ·Sunday, August 23, 2026, 18:00

Sport Boys

PPG 1.82 · HOME

LAST 5

WDDWW

5 – 1

FULL TIME

Cienciano

PPG 1.10 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLDLL

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.3%0-19.4%0-23.9%0-31.1%0-4+0.3%1 1-015.2%1-112.7%1-25.3%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.3%2-18.6%2-23.6%2-31.0%2-4+0.2%3 3-04.6%3-13.9%3-21.6%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.1%4+-11.8%4+-20.7%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.4% 48.8% 2.05 -2.8%

Draw 28.2% 33.3% 3.00 -9.2%

Away win 24.4% 27.0% 3.70 -5.8%

Over 2.5 42.7% 50.0% 2.00 -14.6%

Over 3.5 20.6% 28.6% 3.50 -16.7%

BTTS 47.6% 55.6% 1.80 -14.3%

Home O1.5 37.8% 47.6% 2.10 -20.6%

Away O1.5 22.6% 30.8% 3.25 -15.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 110 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 52%

ROI 9.2%

Bet Hit 59%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 34%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 5-1

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob47.6%

H 47% / xG 1.4-0.8 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 15.2%

#2 1–1 12.7%

#3 0–0 11.3%

#4 2–0 10.3%

#5 2–1 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sport Boys1.4

Cienciano0.8

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.7% · O3.5 PROB 20.6%

Form & verdict PPG

SPORT BOYS · PPG 1.82

CIENCIANO · PPG 1.10

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.52 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Sport Boys (H) 47.4%

ODDS 2.05 · IMPLIED 48.8% EV -2.8%

Draw 28.2%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -9.2%

Cienciano (A) 24.4%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -5.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sport Boys face Cienciano in Peru - Primera División on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sport Boys a 47% chance, the draw 28% and Cienciano 24%, so Sport Boys are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Sport Boys and 0.8 for Cienciano (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sport Boys are averaging 1.82 points per game versus 1.10 for Cienciano. This match finished 5-1.

Sport Boys vs Cienciano Prediction— Peru - Primera División

Match Preview & Prediction

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