Al Raed vs Al Orubah Prediction— Saudi-Arabia - Division 1

Saudi-Arabia - Division 1 Wednesday, April 15, 2026 —

Al Raed PPG 2.00

0-1 MISS

Al Orubah PPG 2.07

Over3.5· +20.7% ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Raed face Al Orubah in Saudi-Arabia - Division 1 on Wednesday, April 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Raed a 52% chance, the draw 22% and Al Orubah 27%, so Al Raed are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Al Raed and 1.4 for Al Orubah (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Raed are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 2.07 for Al Orubah. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +20.7%. This match finished 0-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 51.7%

Odds: 2.00 EV: +3.4%

Draw 21.8%

Odds: 3.40 EV: -25.9%

Away 26.5%

Odds: 3.25 EV: -13.9%

Model lean: Over 2.5

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 65.1% Odds: 1.73 +12.6%

Over 3.5 43.1% Odds: 2.80 +20.7%

BTTS 64.3% Odds: 1.57 +0.9%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 1-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Al Raed

1.98

Al Orubah

1.37

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 +12.6% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5. 
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+20.7%)

League Track Record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5/Under 67%

BTTS/No 50%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 2.7%

Bet Hit 58% (12 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.00), Away EXCELLENT (2.07)