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Olympic Safi vs R. Zemamra Prediction— Morocco - Botola Pro

Matchday 12 ·Wednesday, April 22, 2026, 17:00

Olympic Safi

PPG 0.86 · HOME

LAST 5

LDDDL

1 – 3

FULL TIME

R. Zemamra

PPG 0.86 · AWAY

LAST 5

LDDDD

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.5%0-19.7%0-23.5%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-017.3%1-112.5%1-24.5%1-31.1%1-4+0.2%2 2-011.1%2-18.0%2-22.9%2-30.7%2-4+0.1%3 3-04.7%3-13.4%3-21.2%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-11.5%4+-20.5%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.9% 54.1% 1.85 -7.7%

Draw 29.1% 33.3% 3.00 -12.7%

Away win 21.0% 23.8% 4.20 -11.8%

Over 2.5 32.5% 38.5% 2.60 -15.5%

Over 3.5 14.4% — — —

BTTS 37.2% 46.5% 2.15 -20.0%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 37%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 40%

Score Hit 47%

ROI 22.0%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 55%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob37.2%

H 50% / xG 1.3-0.7 / U2.5 32% / NoBTTS 37%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 17.3%

#2 0–0 13.5%

#3 1–1 12.5%

#4 2–0 11.1%

#5 0–1 9.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Olympic Safi1.3

R. Zemamra0.7

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 32.5% · O3.5 PROB 14.4%

Form & verdict PPG

OLYMPIC SAFI · PPG 0.86

R. ZEMAMRA · PPG 0.86

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

50%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.86), Away POOR (0.86)

Win probability 1X2

Olympic Safi (H) 49.9%

ODDS 1.85 · IMPLIED 54.1% EV -7.7%

Draw 29.1%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -12.7%

R. Zemamra (A) 21.0%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -11.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Olympic Safi face R. Zemamra in Morocco - Botola Pro on Wednesday, April 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Olympic Safi a 50% chance, the draw 29% and R. Zemamra 21%, so Olympic Safi are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Olympic Safi and 0.7 for R. Zemamra (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 37% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Olympic Safi are averaging 0.86 points per game versus 0.86 for R. Zemamra. This match finished 1-3.

Olympic Safi vs R. Zemamra Prediction— Morocco - Botola Pro

Match Preview & Prediction

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