Olympic Safi vs R. Zemamra Prediction— Morocco - Botola Pro

Morocco - Botola Pro Regular Season - 12 Stade El Massira· Safi Wednesday, April 22, 2026 17:00

Olympic Safi PPG 0.86

1-3 MISS

R. Zemamra PPG 0.86

Home· -7.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Olympic Safi face R. Zemamra in Morocco - Botola Pro on Wednesday, April 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Olympic Safi a 50% chance, the draw 29% and R. Zemamra 21%, so Olympic Safi are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Olympic Safi and 0.7 for R. Zemamra (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 37% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Olympic Safi are averaging 0.86 points per game versus 0.86 for R. Zemamra. This match finished 1-3.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 49.9%

Odds: 1.85 EV: -7.7%

Draw 29.1%

Odds: 3.00 EV: -12.7%

Away 21.0%

Odds: 4.20 EV: -11.8%

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 32.5% Odds: 2.60 -15.5%

Over 3.5 14.4% Odds: — —

BTTS 37.2% Odds: 2.15 -20.0%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✘

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 0-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Olympic Safi

1.28

R. Zemamra

0.72

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.86), Away POOR (0.86)