Today / Germany - Regionalliga - SudWest / Kickers Offenb. vs FSV Frankfurt

Kickers Offenb. vs FSV Frankfurt Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - SudWest

Südwest - 30 ·Wednesday, April 22, 2026, 17:00

Kickers Offenb. logo
Kickers Offenb.
PPG 1.57 · HOME
3 – 3
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5
FSV Frankfurt logo
FSV Frankfurt
PPG 2.07 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.8%0-16.5%0-27.5%0-35.8%0-4+5.8%1 1-03.5%1-18.2%1-29.5%1-37.3%1-4+7.3%2 2-02.2%2-15.1%2-25.9%2-34.6%2-4+4.6%3 3-00.9%3-12.2%3-22.5%3-31.9%3-4+1.9%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.9%4+-21.0%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.8%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 19.7%
Draw 19.3%
Away win 61.1%
Over 2.5 69.2%
Over 3.5 47.9%
BTTS 64.5%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 44 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 32%
O2.5 68%
BTTS 68%
Score Hit 23%
ROI -13.7%
Bet Hit 61%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 68%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 3-3
xG (home)1.3 xG (away)2.3 BTTS prob64.5%

A 61% / xG 1.3-2.3 / O2.5 69% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 9.5%
#2 1–1 8.2%
#3 0–2 7.5%
#4 1–3 7.3%
#5 0–1 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kickers Offenb.1.3
FSV Frankfurt2.3

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 69.2% · O3.5 PROB 47.9%

Form & verdict PPG

KICKERS OFFENB. · PPG 1.57

FSV FRANKFURT · PPG 2.07

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45%
DANGER

Home weakness: GOOD (1.57) vs Away EXCELLENT (2.07)

Win probability 1X2

Kickers Offenb. (H) 19.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 19.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
FSV Frankfurt (A) 61.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kickers Offenb. face FSV Frankfurt in Germany - Regionalliga - SudWest on Wednesday, April 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kickers Offenb. a 20% chance, the draw 19% and FSV Frankfurt 61%, so FSV Frankfurt are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Kickers Offenb. and 2.3 for FSV Frankfurt (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 69% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kickers Offenb. are averaging 1.57 points per game versus 2.07 for FSV Frankfurt. This match finished 3-3.

PredictVantage

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