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Dila Gori vs Dinamo Batumi Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga

Regular Season - 8 ·Wednesday, April 22, 2026, 17:00

Dila Gori

PPG 1.00 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Dinamo Batumi

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 56.9% vs bookmaker-implied 69.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.4%0-17.9%0-22.5%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-018.0%1-111.4%1-23.6%1-30.8%1-4+0.1%2 2-013.1%2-18.3%2-22.6%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-06.3%3-14.0%3-21.3%3-30.3%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-03.1%4+-12.0%4+-20.6%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 56.9% 69.4% 1.44 -18.1%

Draw 26.8% 28.6% 3.50 -6.2%

Away win 16.3% 14.3% 7.00 +14.1%

Over 2.5 34.6% — — —

Over 3.5 15.8% — — —

BTTS 36.0% 47.6% 2.10 -24.4%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 44%

ROI 6.7%

Bet Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 61%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob36.0%

H 57% / xG 1.4-0.6 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 36%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0✓ 18.0%

#2 2–0 13.1%

#3 0–0 12.4%

#4 1–1 11.4%

#5 2–1 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dila Gori1.4

Dinamo Batumi0.6

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.6% · O3.5 PROB 15.8%

Form & verdict PPG

DILA GORI · PPG 1.00

DINAMO BATUMI · PPG 0.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away POOR (0.75)

Win probability 1X2

Dila Gori (H) 56.9%

ODDS 1.44 · IMPLIED 69.4% EV -18.1%

Draw 26.8%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -6.2%

Dinamo Batumi (A) 16.3%

ODDS 7.00 · IMPLIED 14.3% EV +14.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Dila Gori face Dinamo Batumi in Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on Wednesday, April 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dila Gori a 57% chance, the draw 27% and Dinamo Batumi 16%, so Dila Gori are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Dila Gori and 0.6 for Dinamo Batumi (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 36% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dila Gori are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.75 for Dinamo Batumi. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +14.1%. This match finished 1-0.

Dila Gori vs Dinamo Batumi Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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