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Al Orubah vs Al Zulfi Prediction— Saudi-Arabia - Division 1

Regular Season - 30 ·Wednesday, April 22, 2026, 16:25

Al Orubah

PPG 1.50 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Al Zulfi

PPG 1.43 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.8% vs bookmaker-implied 60.6%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.3%0-18.6%0-25.1%0-32.0%0-4+0.8%1 1-010.5%1-112.4%1-27.3%1-32.9%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.5%2-18.9%2-25.2%2-32.1%2-4+0.8%3 3-03.6%3-14.3%3-22.5%3-31.0%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-12.1%4+-21.2%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 42.9% 43.5% 2.30 -1.3%

Draw 26.0% 30.8% 3.25 -15.5%

Away win 31.0% 35.7% 2.80 -13.2%

Over 2.5 48.5% 54.6% 1.83 -11.2%

Over 3.5 26.7% 32.3% 3.10 -17.2%

BTTS 52.8% 60.6% 1.65 -12.9%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 1.1%

Bet Hit 66%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 23%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob52.8%

H 43% / xG 1.4-1.2 / O2.5 48% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.4%

#2 1–0 10.5%

#3 2–1 8.9%

#4 0–1✓ 8.6%

#5 2–0 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Orubah1.4

Al Zulfi1.2

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 48.5% · O3.5 PROB 26.7%

Form & verdict PPG

AL ORUBAH · PPG 1.50

AL ZULFI · PPG 1.43

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.50), Away AVERAGE (1.43)

Win probability 1X2

Al Orubah (H) 42.9%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV -1.3%

Draw 26.0%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV -15.5%

Al Zulfi (A) 31.0%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV -13.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Orubah face Al Zulfi in Saudi-Arabia - Division 1 on Wednesday, April 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Orubah a 43% chance, the draw 26% and Al Zulfi 31%, so Al Orubah are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Al Orubah and 1.2 for Al Zulfi (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Orubah are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.43 for Al Zulfi. This match finished 0-1.

Al Orubah vs Al Zulfi Prediction— Saudi-Arabia - Division 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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