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San Antonio vs Oakland Roots Prediction— USA - USL Championship

Group Stage ·Sunday, August 23, 2026, 01:00

San Antonio

PPG 1.80 · HOME

LAST 5

DWLLW

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Oakland Roots

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLDWD

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 53.0% vs bookmaker-implied 58.8%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.9%0-16.8%0-23.3%0-31.1%0-4+0.3%1 1-011.7%1-111.5%1-25.6%1-31.8%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.9%2-19.7%2-24.7%2-31.6%2-4+0.5%3 3-05.6%3-15.4%3-22.7%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-03.4%4+-13.4%4+-21.6%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.0% 47.6% 2.10 +7.1%

Draw 24.7% 31.3% 3.20 -12.6%

Away win 24.4% 33.3% 3.00 -16.1%

Over 2.5 51.7% 54.1% 1.85 -4.3%

Over 3.5 30.9% 33.3% 3.00 -7.3%

BTTS 53.0% 58.8% 1.70 -9.9%

Home O1.5 48.8% 54.6% 1.83 -10.7%

Away O1.5 28.4% 30.8% 3.25 -4.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 152 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 49%

O2.5 46%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -17.0%

Bet Hit 48%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 32%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob53.0%

H 51% / xG 1.7-1.0 / O2.5 52% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.5%

#2 1–0 11.7%

#3 2–0 9.9%

#4 2–1 9.7%

#5 0–0 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

San Antonio1.7

Oakland Roots1.0

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 51.7% · O3.5 PROB 30.9%

Form & verdict PPG

SAN ANTONIO · PPG 1.80

OAKLAND ROOTS · PPG 1.00

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.71 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

San Antonio (H) 51.0%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV +7.1%

Draw 24.7%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -12.6%

Oakland Roots (A) 24.4%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -16.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

San Antonio face Oakland Roots in USA - USL Championship on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives San Antonio a 51% chance, the draw 25% and Oakland Roots 24%, so San Antonio are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for San Antonio and 1.0 for Oakland Roots (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, San Antonio are averaging 1.80 points per game versus 1.00 for Oakland Roots. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +3.8%. This match finished 0-1.

San Antonio vs Oakland Roots Prediction— USA - USL Championship

Match Preview & Prediction

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