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Corpus Christi vs Westchester SC Prediction— USA - USL League One

Group Stage ·Sunday, August 23, 2026, 00:30

Corpus Christi

PPG 1.80 · HOME

LAST 5

DWWLD

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Westchester SC

PPG 0.20 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLWDL

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.6 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 53.6% vs bookmaker-implied 57.8%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.4%0-16.5%0-22.9%0-30.9%0-4+0.2%1 1-012.7%1-111.3%1-25.0%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.9%2-19.7%2-24.3%2-31.3%2-4+0.3%3 3-06.3%3-15.5%3-22.4%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-04.0%4+-13.5%4+-21.6%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.3% 52.4% 1.91 -0.1%

Draw 24.3% 30.8% 3.25 -12.6%

Away win 23.4% 30.3% 3.30 -13.7%

Over 2.5 53.6% 57.8% 1.73 -7.3%

Over 3.5 30.9% 37.2% 2.69 -16.9%

BTTS 53.0% 62.5% 1.60 -15.2%

Home O1.5 48.8% 54.6% 1.83 -10.7%

Away O1.5 22.8% 37.9% 2.64 -23.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 65%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 39%

ROI 0.6%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 34%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob53.0%

H 52% / xG 1.7-0.9 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.3%

#2 1–0 12.7%

#3 2–0 10.9%

#4 2–1 9.7%

#5 0–0 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Corpus Christi1.7

Westchester SC0.9

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.6% · O3.5 PROB 30.9%

Form & verdict PPG

CORPUS CHRISTI · PPG 1.80

WESTCHESTER SC · PPG 0.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.84 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Corpus Christi (H) 52.3%

ODDS 1.91 · IMPLIED 52.4% EV -0.1%

Draw 24.3%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV -12.6%

Westchester SC (A) 23.4%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -13.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Corpus Christi face Westchester SC in USA - USL League One on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Corpus Christi a 52% chance, the draw 24% and Westchester SC 23%, so Corpus Christi are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Corpus Christi and 0.9 for Westchester SC (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Corpus Christi are averaging 1.80 points per game versus 0.20 for Westchester SC. This match finished 2-2.

Corpus Christi vs Westchester SC Prediction— USA - USL League One

Match Preview & Prediction

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