Hobro vs HB Koge Prediction & Tips

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Denmark - 1. Division Relegation Group - 26 DS Arena· Hobro Wednesday, April 22, 2026 16:00

Hobro PPG 1.00

1-2 MISS

HB Koge PPG 0.75

Over2.5· +0.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 49.4%

Odds: 1.94 EV: -4.2%

Draw 24.1%

Odds: 3.40 EV: -18.1%

Away 26.5%

Odds: 3.55 EV: -5.9%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 54.3% Odds: 1.85 +0.5%

Over 3.5 32.0% Odds: 3.10 -0.8%

BTTS 56.1% Odds: 1.67 -6.3%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 0-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Hobro

1.69

HB Koge

1.17

Model SuggestionBTTS -6.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -6.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Over2.5 (+0.5%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away POOR (0.75)