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Brooklyn vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds Prediction— USA - USL Championship

Group Stage ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 23:00

Brooklyn

PPG 0.88 · HOME

LAST 5

LLLLW

0 – 1

FULL TIME

Pittsburgh Riverhounds

PPG 1.22 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWWLD

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.5%0-113.4%0-27.8%0-33.1%0-4+1.2%1 1-011.4%1-113.4%1-27.8%1-33.0%1-4+1.1%2 2-05.7%2-16.6%2-23.9%2-31.5%2-4+0.6%3 3-01.9%3-12.2%3-21.3%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.7%4+-20.4%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 29.0% 37.7% 2.65 -13.9%

Draw 26.9% 30.3% 3.30 -6.7%

Away win 44.1% 42.0% 2.38 +5.0%

Over 2.5 44.8% 51.8% 1.93 -13.5%

Over 3.5 25.6% 29.9% 3.35 -8.5%

BTTS 47.6% 58.8% 1.70 -19.1%

Home O1.5 30.6% 40.8% 2.45 -25.0%

Away O1.5 35.6% 43.5% 2.30 -18.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 152 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 49%

O2.5 46%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -17.0%

Bet Hit 48%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 29%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob47.6%

A 44% / xG 1.0-1.2 / U2.5 45% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1✓ 13.4%

#2 1–1 13.4%

#3 0–0 11.5%

#4 1–0 11.4%

#5 0–2 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Brooklyn1.0

Pittsburgh Riverhounds1.2

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.8% · O3.5 PROB 25.6%

Form & verdict PPG

BROOKLYN · PPG 0.88

PITTSBURGH RIVERHOUNDS · PPG 1.22

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear value

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.17, combined xG 2.16 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Brooklyn (H) 29.0%

ODDS 2.65 · IMPLIED 37.7% EV -13.9%

Draw 26.9%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -6.7%

Pittsburgh Riverhounds (A) 44.1%

ODDS 2.38 · IMPLIED 42.0% EV +5.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Brooklyn face Pittsburgh Riverhounds in USA - USL Championship on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Brooklyn a 29% chance, the draw 27% and Pittsburgh Riverhounds 44%, so Pittsburgh Riverhounds are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Brooklyn and 1.2 for Pittsburgh Riverhounds (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Brooklyn are averaging 0.88 points per game versus 1.22 for Pittsburgh Riverhounds. This match finished 0-1.

Brooklyn vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds Prediction— USA - USL Championship

Match Preview & Prediction

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