Varazdin vs Rijeka Prediction & Tips

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Croatia - HNL Regular Season - 31 Gradski stadion Varazdin Wednesday, April 22, 2026 15:45

Varazdin PPG 1.73

1-0 HIT CS2

Rijeka PPG 1.13

Home· +5.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 40.3%

Odds: 2.62 EV: +5.6%

Draw 26.3%

Odds: 3.10 EV: -18.5%

Away 33.4%

Odds: 2.58 EV: -13.8%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 48.1% Odds: 2.15 +3.4%

Over 3.5 26.4% Odds: 3.95 +4.3%

BTTS 52.7% Odds: 1.83 -3.6%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✔

3rd 0-1 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 1-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Varazdin

1.37

Rijeka

1.23

Model SuggestionBTTS -3.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -3.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+5.6%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.73) > Away AVERAGE (1.13)