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Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al Shabab Prediction— Saudi-Arabia - Pro League

Matchday 2 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 18:00

Al Khaleej Saihat

PPG 1.29 · HOME

LAST 5

DDDL ·

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Al Shabab

PPG 1.02 · AWAY

LAST 5

LDDD ·

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 53.0% vs bookmaker-implied 67.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.4%0-16.4%0-23.8%0-31.5%0-4+0.6%1 1-09.4%1-111.1%1-26.6%1-32.6%1-4+1.0%2 2-08.1%2-19.6%2-25.7%2-32.2%2-4+0.9%3 3-04.7%3-15.5%3-23.3%3-31.3%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-03.0%4+-13.5%4+-22.1%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.1% 33.9% 2.95 +41.9%

Draw 27.2% 26.7% 3.75 +1.2%

Away win 24.7% 46.5% 2.15 -28.1%

Over 2.5 53.0% 62.5% 1.60 -15.2%

Over 3.5 31.6% 40.8% 2.45 -22.6%

BTTS 53.0% 67.6% 1.48 -21.6%

Home O1.5 48.8% 45.5% 2.20 +7.4%

Away O1.5 35.8% 54.1% 1.85 -33.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 72 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 51%

Score Hit 43%

ROI -30.3%

Bet Hit 44%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 36%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob53.0%

H 48% / xG 1.7-1.2 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.1%

#2 2–1 9.6%

#3 2–0 8.1%

#4 1–0 9.4%

#5 0–0✓ 5.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Khaleej Saihat1.7

Al Shabab1.2

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.0% · O3.5 PROB 31.6%

Form & verdict PPG

AL KHALEEJ SAIHAT · PPG 1.29

AL SHABAB · PPG 1.02

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.55 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Al Khaleej Saihat (H) 48.1%

ODDS 2.95 · IMPLIED 33.9% EV +41.9%

Draw 27.2%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV +1.2%

Al Shabab (A) 24.7%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV -28.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Khaleej Saihat face Al Shabab in Saudi-Arabia - Pro League on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Khaleej Saihat a 48% chance, the draw 27% and Al Shabab 25%, so Al Khaleej Saihat are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Al Khaleej Saihat and 1.2 for Al Shabab (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Khaleej Saihat are averaging 1.29 points per game versus 1.02 for Al Shabab. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +29.6%. This match finished 0-0.

Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al Shabab Prediction— Saudi-Arabia - Pro League

Match Preview & Prediction

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