Vukovar vs Gorica Prediction & Tips

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Croatia - HNL Regular Season - 31 Stadion Gradski vrt· Osijek Wednesday, April 22, 2026 13:30

Vukovar PPG 1.20

1-2 HIT CS3

Gorica PPG 0.93

Away· +1.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 32.5%

Odds: 2.74 EV: -10.9%

Draw 25.4%

Odds: 3.25 EV: -17.4%

Away 42.1%

Odds: 2.40 EV: +1.0%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 51.7% Odds: 1.93 -0.2%

Over 3.5 29.6% Odds: 3.35 -0.8%

BTTS 55.5% Odds: 1.67 -7.3%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-1 ✘

3rd 1-2 ✔

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Vukovar

1.27

Gorica

1.48

Model SuggestionBTTS -7.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -7.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+1.0%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.20), Away POOR (0.93)