Today / Norway - 1st Division / Sandnes ULF vs Bryne

Sandnes ULF vs Bryne Prediction— Norway - 1st Division

Matchday 19 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 14:00

Sandnes ULF

PPG 1.44 · HOME

LAST 5

LLLLW

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Bryne

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWWWL

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 62.6% vs bookmaker-implied 61.7% — a real, if thin, edge.

+1.4% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.0%0-15.7%0-24.1%0-31.9%0-4+0.9%1 1-07.2%1-110.2%1-27.3%1-33.5%1-4+1.7%2 2-06.4%2-19.2%2-26.5%2-33.1%2-4+1.5%3 3-03.8%3-15.5%3-23.9%3-31.9%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-02.6%4+-13.7%4+-22.6%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.8% 34.5% 2.90 +27.0%

Draw 22.3% 29.0% 3.45 -13.8%

Away win 33.9% 46.5% 2.15 -27.1%

Over 2.5 62.6% 61.7% 1.62 +1.4%

Over 3.5 39.4% 40.0% 2.50 -1.5%

BTTS 61.3% 67.6% 1.48 -9.3%

Home O1.5 48.8% 45.5% 2.20 +7.4%

Away O1.5 41.2% 54.6% 1.83 -24.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 97 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 26%

ROI 21.6%

Bet Hit 79%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 42%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob61.3%

H 44% / xG 1.8-1.4 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.2%

#2 2–1 9.2%

#3 1–2 7.3%

#4 2–0 6.4%

#5 2–2 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sandnes ULF1.8

Bryne1.4

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 62.6% · O3.5 PROB 39.4%

Form & verdict PPG

SANDNES ULF · PPG 1.44

BRYNE · PPG 1.33

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.37 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Sandnes ULF (H) 43.8%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV +27.0%

Draw 22.3%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV -13.8%

Bryne (A) 33.9%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV -27.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sandnes ULF face Bryne in Norway - 1st Division on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sandnes ULF a 44% chance, the draw 22% and Bryne 34%, so Sandnes ULF are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Sandnes ULF and 1.4 for Bryne (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sandnes ULF are averaging 1.44 points per game versus 1.33 for Bryne. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +62.0%. This match finished 0-1.

Sandnes ULF vs Bryne Prediction— Norway - 1st Division

Match Preview & Prediction

More Norway - 1st Division Predictions