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Meshakhte vs Rustavi Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga

Matchday 8 ·Wednesday, April 22, 2026, 12:00

Meshakhte

PPG 1.00 · HOME

LAST 5

LLLLW

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Rustavi

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWWDL

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-034.5%0-120.8%0-26.3%0-31.3%0-4+0.2%1 1-015.9%1-19.6%1-22.9%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-03.7%2-12.2%2-20.7%2-30.1%2-4+0.0%3 3-00.6%3-10.3%3-20.1%3-30.0%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.0%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 23.0% 34.5% 2.90 -33.3%

Draw 44.8% 33.3% 3.00 +34.4%

Away win 32.2% 44.4% 2.25 -27.6%

Over 2.5 9.3% 44.4% 2.25 -79.1%

Over 3.5 2.3% — — —

BTTS 16.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 67 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 42%

ROI 21.0%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 68%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)0.5 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob16.7%

D 45% / xG 0.5-0.6 / U2.5 9% / NoBTTS 17%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0✓ 34.5%

#2 0–1 20.8%

#3 1–0 15.9%

#4 1–1 9.6%

#5 0–2 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Meshakhte0.5

Rustavi0.6

COMBINED 1.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 9.3% · O3.5 PROB 2.3%

Form & verdict PPG

MESHAKHTE · PPG 1.00

RUSTAVI · PPG 1.25

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

Chance this pick lands

45%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.25)

Win probability 1X2

Meshakhte (H) 23.0%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -33.3%

Draw 44.8%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV +34.4%

Rustavi (A) 32.2%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV -27.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Meshakhte face Rustavi in Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on Wednesday, April 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Meshakhte a 23% chance, the draw 45% and Rustavi 32%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.5 for Meshakhte and 0.6 for Rustavi (1.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 9% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 17% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Meshakhte are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.25 for Rustavi. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +34.4%. This match finished 0-0.

Meshakhte vs Rustavi Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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